CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2023-07-11T19:24:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2023-07-11T19:24ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/25917/-1
CME Note: Bright southern partial halo CME with a wider faint shock front. Its source is a large filament eruption with deep dimming and high post-eruptive arcades occurring in southern hemisphere south of AR 3363 around 2023-07-11T19:15Z (SDO 304,193, EUVI A 195, 304) centered around S35E05.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2023-07-14T15:55Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-07-14T16:02Z (-10.93h, +15.91h)
Prediction Method: CMEFM v.0.1
Prediction Method Note:
Time of Launch: 2023/07/11 19:30Z Plane of Sky 1: 02:00Z; 31.5Rsun; SSE Direction Plane of Sky 2: 07:30Z; 31.5Rsun; NNW Direction POS Difference: 5:30 POS Midpoint: 04:45Z TOL/Midpoint Difference: 9:15 Numeric View/Impact Type: 1 POS Difference Resulted Value: ~7.41 Travel Time: ~7.41 * 9:15 = 68:32 Predicted L1 Arrival: 2023-07-14T16:02Z Error Parameters: - POS Difference: 1.5 Hours - Travel Time: 15%Lead Time: 48.42 hour(s)
Difference: -0.12 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Garrett Imhoff (Other) on 2023-07-12T15:30Z
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